AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 51-3011.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Bakers?

Mix and bake ingredients to produce breads, rolls, cookies, cakes, pies, pastries, or other baked goods.

Estimated AI task exposure
14%

Low exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

18 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

19/100

Physical moat

49/100

Human moat

11/100

Rating coverage

100%

18 task statements / 18 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Measure or weigh flour or other ingredients to prepare batters, doughs, fillings, or icings, using scales or graduated containers.
Importance 90/100Relevance 91/100Frequency 88/100Weight 0.90
Set oven temperatures, and place items into hot ovens for baking.
Importance 87/100Relevance 91/100Frequency 87/100Weight 0.88
Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.
Importance 84/100Relevance 93/100Frequency 84/100Weight 0.87
Check equipment to ensure that it meets health and safety regulations, and perform maintenance or cleaning, as necessary.
Importance 86/100Relevance 92/100Frequency 80/100Weight 0.87
Place dough in pans, molds, or on sheets, and bake in production ovens or on grills.
Importance 86/100Relevance 88/100Frequency 85/100Weight 0.86
Check products for quality, and identify damaged or expired goods.
Importance 86/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 78/100Weight 0.85
Check the quality of raw materials to ensure that standards and specifications are met.
Importance 84/100Relevance 88/100Frequency 79/100Weight 0.84
Observe color of products being baked, and adjust oven temperatures, humidity, or conveyor speeds accordingly.
Importance 84/100Relevance 84/100Frequency 84/100Weight 0.84
Combine measured ingredients in bowls of mixing, blending, or cooking machinery.
Importance 84/100Relevance 84/100Frequency 83/100Weight 0.84
Adapt the quantity of ingredients to match the amount of items to be baked.
Importance 86/100Relevance 79/100Frequency 78/100Weight 0.81

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$37,160

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

236,200

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+5.5%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

36

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Pourers and Casters, Metal

5%

9 points lower exposure • 94% profile similarity

Median wage: $51,810 Growth 2025–2035: -5.0% Annual openings: 0

more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Medical Appliance Technicians

5%

9 points lower exposure • 92% profile similarity

Median wage: $48,030 Growth 2025–2035: +3.5% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Roofers

5%

9 points lower exposure • 93% profile similarity

Median wage: $55,440 Growth 2025–2035: +5.3% Annual openings: 12

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles

6%

8 points lower exposure • 95% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,460 Growth 2025–2035: +9.0% Annual openings: 2

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Cooks, Fast Food

5%

9 points lower exposure • 92% profile similarity

Median wage: $30,890 Growth 2025–2035: +0.6% Annual openings: 86

more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

5%

9 points lower exposure • 94% profile similarity

Median wage: $47,720 Growth 2025–2035: +0.7% Annual openings: 5

more physical-world work

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

    AUGMENT

    • administrative support tasks
    • planning and documentation

    PROTECT

      LEARN

      • basic AI literacy

      AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

      What this score does not mean

      The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

      New in V11

      Find a Safer Career Path

      High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

      EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
      I am your guide.
      Knowledge is your strongest upgrade.