AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 53-3052.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity?

Drive bus or motor coach, including regular route operations, charters, and private carriage. May assist passengers with baggage. May collect fares or tickets.

Estimated AI task exposure
22%

Low-Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

14 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

46/100

Physical moat

66/100

Human moat

45/100

Rating coverage

100%

14 task statements / 14 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Drive vehicles over specified routes or to specified destinations according to time schedules, complying with traffic regulations to ensure that passengers have a smooth and safe ride.
Importance 92/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 88/100Weight 0.94
Park vehicles at loading areas so that passengers can board.
Importance 88/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 89/100Weight 0.93
Assist passengers, such as elderly or individuals with disabilities, on and off bus, ensure they are seated properly, help carry baggage, and answer questions about bus schedules or routes.
Importance 84/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 73/100Weight 0.87
Regulate heating, lighting, and ventilating systems for passenger comfort.
Importance 78/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 82/100Weight 0.87
Report delays or accidents.
Importance 81/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 62/100Weight 0.83
Announce stops to passengers.
Importance 88/100Relevance 79/100Frequency 82/100Weight 0.83
Inspect vehicles and check gas, oil, and water levels prior to departure.
Importance 88/100Relevance 85/100Frequency 70/100Weight 0.83
Advise passengers to be seated and orderly while on vehicles.
Importance 80/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 69/100Weight 0.82
Collect tickets or cash fares from passengers.
Importance 82/100Relevance 79/100Frequency 83/100Weight 0.81
Handle passenger emergencies or disruptions.
Importance 81/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 52/100Weight 0.81

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$59,050

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

159,240

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+4.1%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

21

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

10 points lower exposure • 93% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

less digital task exposure, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

12 points lower exposure • 91% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

17 points lower exposure • 85% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bicycle Repairers

5%

17 points lower exposure • 83% profile similarity

Median wage: $42,780 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

17 points lower exposure • 83% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

less digital task exposure, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electricians

17%

5 points lower exposure • 90% profile similarity

Median wage: $63,190 Growth 2025–2035: +9.2% Annual openings: 73

more physical-world work

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

    AUGMENT

    • administrative support tasks
    • planning and documentation

    PROTECT

    • physical-world execution
    • on-site troubleshooting
    • dexterity and equipment interaction

    LEARN

    • AI-assisted diagnostics
    • digital documentation
    • basic AI literacy

    AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

    What this score does not mean

    The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

    New in V11

    Find a Safer Career Path

    High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

    EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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