AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 53-5021.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels?

Command or supervise operations of ships and water vessels, such as tugboats and ferryboats. Required to hold license issued by U.S. Coast Guard.

Estimated AI task exposure
29%

Low-Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

29 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 97%.

Digital/info work

38/100

Physical moat

43/100

Human moat

29/100

Rating coverage

97%

30 task statements / 29 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Direct courses and speeds of ships, based on specialized knowledge of local winds, weather, water depths, tides, currents, and hazards.
Importance 100/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 90/100Weight 0.97
Consult maps, charts, weather reports, or navigation equipment to determine and direct ship movements.
Importance 96/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 85/100Weight 0.95
Steer and operate vessels, using radios, depth finders, radars, lights, buoys, or lighthouses.
Importance 94/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 86/100Weight 0.94
Prevent ships under navigational control from engaging in unsafe operations.
Importance 98/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 85/100Weight 0.93
Operate ship-to-shore radios to exchange information needed for ship operations.
Importance 93/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 90/100Weight 0.93
Stand watches on vessels during specified periods while vessels are under way.
Importance 91/100Relevance 97/100Frequency 78/100Weight 0.90
Dock or undock vessels, sometimes maneuvering through narrow spaces, such as locks.
Importance 92/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 70/100Weight 0.89
Serve as a vessel's docking master upon arrival at a port or at a berth.
Importance 97/100Relevance 97/100Frequency 62/100Weight 0.88
Inspect vessels to ensure efficient and safe operation of vessels and equipment and conformance to regulations.
Importance 90/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 70/100Weight 0.88
Measure depths of water, using depth-measuring equipment.
Importance 84/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 81/100Weight 0.85

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$92,460

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

36,850

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+4.0%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

4

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bicycle Repairers

5%

24 points lower exposure • 84% profile similarity

Median wage: $42,780 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

19 points lower exposure • 87% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

24 points lower exposure • 83% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

24 points lower exposure • 85% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

5%

24 points lower exposure • 83% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,210 Growth 2025–2035: +4.4% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

17 points lower exposure • 88% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

    AUGMENT

    • administrative support tasks
    • planning and documentation

    PROTECT

    • domain expertise
    • exception handling
    • accountability for outcomes

    LEARN

    • cross-functional business knowledge
    • risk and governance
    • basic AI literacy

    AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

    What this score does not mean

    The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

    New in V11

    Find a Safer Career Path

    High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

    EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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