AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 47-2031.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Carpenters?

Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Estimated AI task exposure
7%

Low exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

29 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

27/100

Physical moat

76/100

Human moat

17/100

Rating coverage

100%

29 task statements / 29 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.
Importance 76/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 74/100Weight 0.85
Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.
Importance 73/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 60/100Weight 0.80
Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.
Importance 71/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 59/100Weight 0.79
Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.
Importance 69/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 56/100Weight 0.78
Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.
Importance 66/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 52/100Weight 0.75
Select and order lumber or other required materials.
Importance 70/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 44/100Weight 0.75
Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.
Importance 64/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 51/100Weight 0.75
Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.
Importance 61/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 53/100Weight 0.73
Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.
Importance 68/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 38/100Weight 0.73
Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.
Importance 60/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 46/100Weight 0.72

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$60,580

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

670,090

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+3.9%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

63

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Home Appliance Repairers

5%

2 points lower exposure • 98% profile similarity

Median wage: $50,990 Growth 2025–2035: +1.9% Annual openings: 3

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Telecommunications Line Installers and Repairers

5%

2 points lower exposure • 97% profile similarity

Median wage: $74,330 Growth 2025–2035: -3.4% Annual openings: 8

more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Outdoor Power Equipment and Other Small Engine Mechanics

5%

2 points lower exposure • 96% profile similarity

Median wage: $47,880 Growth 2025–2035: +2.3% Annual openings: 4

more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Solar Thermal Installers and Technicians

5%

2 points lower exposure • 97% profile similarity

Median wage: $63,800 Growth 2025–2035: +6.8% Annual openings: 42

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers

5%

2 points lower exposure • 97% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,380 Growth 2025–2035: -5.6% Annual openings: 3

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters

5%

2 points lower exposure • 97% profile similarity

Median wage: $63,800 Growth 2025–2035: +6.8% Annual openings: 42

more physical-world work

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

    AUGMENT

    • administrative support tasks
    • planning and documentation

    PROTECT

    • physical-world execution
    • on-site troubleshooting
    • dexterity and equipment interaction

    LEARN

    • AI-assisted diagnostics
    • digital documentation
    • basic AI literacy

    AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

    What this score does not mean

    The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

    New in V11

    Find a Safer Career Path

    High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

    EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
    I am your guide.
    Knowledge is your strongest upgrade.