AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 15-1251.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Computer Programmers?

Create, modify, and test the code and scripts that allow computer applications to run. Work from specifications drawn up by software and web developers or other individuals. May develop and write computer programs to store, locate, and retrieve specific documents, data, and information.

Estimated AI task exposure
83%

Very High exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

17 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

82/100

Physical moat

17/100

Human moat

32/100

Rating coverage

100%

17 task statements / 17 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Perform or direct revision, repair, or expansion of existing programs to increase operating efficiency or adapt to new requirements.
Importance 84/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 62/100Weight 0.85
Write, analyze, review, and rewrite programs, using workflow chart and diagram, and applying knowledge of computer capabilities, subject matter, and symbolic logic.
Importance 86/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 69/100Weight 0.85
Correct errors by making appropriate changes and rechecking the program to ensure that the desired results are produced.
Importance 84/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 69/100Weight 0.84
Consult with managerial, engineering, and technical personnel to clarify program intent, identify problems, and suggest changes.
Importance 76/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 58/100Weight 0.80
Write, update, and maintain computer programs or software packages to handle specific jobs such as tracking inventory, storing or retrieving data, or controlling other equipment.
Importance 79/100Relevance 89/100Frequency 65/100Weight 0.79
Conduct trial runs of programs and software applications to be sure they will produce the desired information and that the instructions are correct.
Importance 74/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 52/100Weight 0.77
Compile and write documentation of program development and subsequent revisions, inserting comments in the coded instructions so others can understand the program.
Importance 64/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 54/100Weight 0.75
Prepare detailed workflow charts and diagrams that describe input, output, and logical operation, and convert them into a series of instructions coded in a computer language.
Importance 64/100Relevance 87/100Frequency 45/100Weight 0.68
Consult with and assist computer operators or system analysts to define and resolve problems in running computer programs.
Importance 62/100Relevance 82/100Frequency 49/100Weight 0.66
Write or contribute to instructions or manuals to guide end users.
Importance 57/100Relevance 85/100Frequency 30/100Weight 0.61

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$100,390

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

92,230

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

-7.3%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

4

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

73 points lower exposure • 60% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bicycle Repairers

5%

78 points lower exposure • 56% profile similarity

Median wage: $42,780 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

78 points lower exposure • 56% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

71 points lower exposure • 61% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

11%

72 points lower exposure • 62% profile similarity

Median wage: $49,450 Growth 2025–2035: +1.5% Annual openings: 4

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

78 points lower exposure • 56% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • routine information gathering
  • first-pass document drafting
  • standard reporting and summarization
  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • research and analysis
  • quality checking AI-generated work
  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • domain expertise
  • exception handling
  • accountability for outcomes

LEARN

  • AI-assisted research
  • workflow automation
  • data literacy
  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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