AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 13-1051.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Cost Estimators?

Prepare cost estimates for product manufacturing, construction projects, or services to aid management in bidding on or determining price of product or service. May specialize according to particular service performed or type of product manufactured.

Estimated AI task exposure
62%

High exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

14 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

59/100

Physical moat

14/100

Human moat

29/100

Rating coverage

100%

14 task statements / 14 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Analyze blueprints and other documentation to prepare time, cost, materials, and labor estimates.
Importance 82/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 52/100Weight 0.81
Confer with engineers, architects, owners, contractors, and subcontractors on changes and adjustments to cost estimates.
Importance 80/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 46/100Weight 0.79
Consult with clients, vendors, personnel in other departments, or construction foremen to discuss and formulate estimates and resolve issues.
Importance 75/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 44/100Weight 0.77
Collect historical cost data to estimate costs for current or future products.
Importance 80/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 36/100Weight 0.76
Prepare estimates for use in selecting vendors or subcontractors.
Importance 75/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 36/100Weight 0.75
Assess cost effectiveness of products, projects or services, tracking actual costs relative to bids as the project develops.
Importance 78/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 34/100Weight 0.73
Prepare estimates used by management for purposes such as planning, organizing, and scheduling work.
Importance 75/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 35/100Weight 0.73
Set up cost monitoring and reporting systems and procedures.
Importance 74/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 22/100Weight 0.69
Conduct special studies to develop and establish standard hour and related cost data or to reduce cost.
Importance 63/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 26/100Weight 0.68
Review material and labor requirements to decide whether it is more cost-effective to produce or purchase components.
Importance 69/100Relevance 91/100Frequency 28/100Weight 0.67

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$78,740

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

224,220

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

-3.1%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

18

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bicycle Repairers

5%

57 points lower exposure • 66% profile similarity

Median wage: $42,780 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

52 points lower exposure • 70% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

57 points lower exposure • 65% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

57 points lower exposure • 67% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

5%

57 points lower exposure • 65% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,210 Growth 2025–2035: +4.4% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

50 points lower exposure • 70% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • routine information gathering
  • first-pass document drafting
  • standard reporting and summarization
  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • research and analysis
  • quality checking AI-generated work
  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • domain expertise
  • exception handling
  • accountability for outcomes

LEARN

  • AI-assisted research
  • workflow automation
  • data literacy
  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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