AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 45-4021.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Fallers?

Use axes or chainsaws to fell trees using knowledge of tree characteristics and cutting techniques to control direction of fall and minimize tree damage.

Estimated AI task exposure
5%

Low exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

17 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

14/100

Physical moat

84/100

Human moat

11/100

Rating coverage

100%

17 task statements / 17 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Saw back-cuts, leaving sufficient sound wood to control direction of fall.
Importance 91/100Relevance 97/100Frequency 94/100Weight 0.94
Stop saw engines, pull cutting bars from cuts, and run to safety as tree falls.
Importance 89/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 93/100Weight 0.93
Control the direction of a tree's fall by scoring cutting lines with axes, sawing undercuts along scored lines with chainsaws, knocking slabs from cuts with single-bit axes, and driving wedges.
Importance 90/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 93/100Weight 0.91
Select trees to be cut down, assessing factors such as site, terrain, and weather conditions before beginning work.
Importance 88/100Relevance 91/100Frequency 93/100Weight 0.90
Appraise trees for certain characteristics, such as twist, rot, and heavy limb growth, and gauge amount and direction of lean, to determine how to control the direction of a tree's fall with the least damage.
Importance 85/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 89/100Weight 0.90
Clear brush from work areas and escape routes, and cut saplings and other trees from direction of falls, using axes, chainsaws, or bulldozers.
Importance 84/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 84/100Weight 0.90
Measure felled trees and cut them into specified log lengths, using chain saws and axes.
Importance 88/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 86/100Weight 0.90
Assess logs after cutting to ensure that the quality and length are correct.
Importance 86/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 87/100Weight 0.89
Determine position, direction, and depth of cuts to be made, and placement of wedges or jacks.
Importance 82/100Relevance 97/100Frequency 85/100Weight 0.89
Insert jacks or drive wedges behind saws to prevent binding of saws and to start trees falling.
Importance 87/100Relevance 93/100Frequency 81/100Weight 0.88

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$52,100

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

3,130

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

-9.9%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

0

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Engine and Other Machine Assemblers

5%

similar low-exposure profile • 100% profile similarity

Median wage: $53,710 Growth 2025–2035: -17.0% Annual openings: 2

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Helpers--Carpenters

5%

similar low-exposure profile • 100% profile similarity

Median wage: $43,780 Growth 2025–2035: -1.7% Annual openings: 2

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers

5%

similar low-exposure profile • 97% profile similarity

Median wage: $95,320 Growth 2025–2035: +10.3% Annual openings: 11

stronger human/judgment moat
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Terrazzo Workers and Finishers

5%

similar low-exposure profile • 98% profile similarity

Median wage: $76,170 Growth 2025–2035: -13.0% Annual openings: 0

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Boilermakers

5%

similar low-exposure profile • 99% profile similarity

Median wage: $76,410 Growth 2025–2035: -1.8% Annual openings: 1

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons

5%

similar low-exposure profile • 99% profile similarity

Median wage: $61,290 Growth 2025–2035: -13.7% Annual openings: 0

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

    AUGMENT

    • administrative support tasks
    • planning and documentation

    PROTECT

    • physical-world execution
    • on-site troubleshooting
    • dexterity and equipment interaction

    LEARN

    • AI-assisted diagnostics
    • digital documentation
    • basic AI literacy

    AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

    What this score does not mean

    The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

    New in V11

    Find a Safer Career Path

    High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

    EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
    I am your guide.
    Knowledge is your strongest upgrade.