AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 53-1043.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators?

Directly supervise and coordinate activities of material-moving machine and vehicle operators and helpers.

Estimated AI task exposure
49%

Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

19 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 86%.

Digital/info work

56/100

Physical moat

41/100

Human moat

22/100

Rating coverage

86%

22 task statements / 19 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Enforce safety rules and regulations.
Importance 88/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 69/100Weight 0.88
Resolve worker problems or collaborate with employees to assist in problem resolution.
Importance 78/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 70/100Weight 0.84
Confer with customers, supervisors, contractors, or other personnel to exchange information or to resolve problems.
Importance 77/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 70/100Weight 0.84
Interpret transportation or tariff regulations, shipping orders, safety regulations, or company policies and procedures for workers.
Importance 79/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 59/100Weight 0.81
Plan work assignments and equipment allocations to meet transportation, operations or production goals.
Importance 77/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 65/100Weight 0.81
Review orders, production schedules, blueprints, or shipping or receiving notices to determine work sequences and material shipping dates, types, volumes, or destinations.
Importance 74/100Relevance 91/100Frequency 67/100Weight 0.79
Recommend and implement measures to improve worker motivation, equipment performance, work methods, or customer services.
Importance 70/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 49/100Weight 0.76
Maintain or verify records of time, materials, expenditures, or crew activities.
Importance 72/100Relevance 88/100Frequency 61/100Weight 0.76
Examine, measure, or weigh cargo or materials to determine specific handling requirements.
Importance 75/100Relevance 84/100Frequency 62/100Weight 0.75
Inspect or test materials, stock, vehicles, equipment, or facilities to ensure that they are safe, free of defects, and consistent with specifications.
Importance 73/100Relevance 87/100Frequency 60/100Weight 0.75

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

Not published

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

Not published

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

Not published

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

Not published

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

5%

44 points lower exposure • 75% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,210 Growth 2025–2035: +4.4% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Helpers--Extraction Workers

5%

44 points lower exposure • 75% profile similarity

Median wage: $47,730 Growth 2025–2035: +1.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

9%

40 points lower exposure • 78% profile similarity

Median wage: $61,010 Growth 2025–2035: +10.9% Annual openings: 41

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

44 points lower exposure • 76% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers

6%

43 points lower exposure • 78% profile similarity

Median wage: $57,020 Growth 2025–2035: +1.6% Annual openings: 14

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Outdoor Power Equipment and Other Small Engine Mechanics

5%

44 points lower exposure • 74% profile similarity

Median wage: $47,880 Growth 2025–2035: +2.3% Annual openings: 4

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • routine information gathering
  • first-pass document drafting
  • standard reporting and summarization
  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • research and analysis
  • quality checking AI-generated work
  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • domain expertise
  • exception handling
  • accountability for outcomes

LEARN

  • AI-assisted research
  • workflow automation
  • data literacy
  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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