O*NET-SOC 53-3032.00 / model V14 rated-task + local-market engine

Will AI replace
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers?

Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Estimated AI task exposure

Low exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

29 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

26/100

Physical moat

81/100

Human moat

12/100

Rating coverage

100%

29 task statements / 29 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

Importance 90/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 71/100Weight 0.89

Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

Importance 89/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 75/100Weight 0.88

Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

Importance 89/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 64/100Weight 0.86

Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

Importance 88/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 69/100Weight 0.86

Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

Importance 91/100Relevance 92/100Frequency 68/100Weight 0.85

Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

Importance 90/100Relevance 91/100Frequency 69/100Weight 0.85

Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

Importance 83/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 72/100Weight 0.85

Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

Importance 86/100Relevance 93/100Frequency 70/100Weight 0.85

Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

Importance 87/100Relevance 93/100Frequency 64/100Weight 0.84

Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

Importance 90/100Relevance 87/100Frequency 67/100Weight 0.83

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$58,640

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

2,062,040

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+3.8%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

214

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

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Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE