AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 11-3051.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Industrial Production Managers?

Plan, direct, or coordinate the work activities and resources necessary for manufacturing products in accordance with cost, quality, and quantity specifications.

Estimated AI task exposure
80%

Very High exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

13 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 62%.

Digital/info work

80/100

Physical moat

20/100

Human moat

28/100

Rating coverage

62%

21 task statements / 13 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Direct or coordinate production, processing, distribution, or marketing activities of industrial organizations.
Importance 75/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 69/100Weight 0.81
Review processing schedules or production orders to make decisions concerning inventory requirements, staffing requirements, work procedures, or duty assignments, considering budgetary limitations and time constraints.
Importance 75/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 61/100Weight 0.80
Review operations and confer with technical or administrative staff to resolve production or processing problems.
Importance 71/100Relevance 97/100Frequency 60/100Weight 0.78
Set and monitor product standards, examining samples of raw products or directing testing during processing, to ensure finished products are of prescribed quality.
Importance 75/100Relevance 88/100Frequency 60/100Weight 0.76
Prepare and maintain production reports or personnel records.
Importance 68/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 58/100Weight 0.74
Develop or implement production tracking or quality control systems, analyzing production, quality control, maintenance, or other operational reports to detect production problems.
Importance 70/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 54/100Weight 0.74
Hire, train, evaluate, or discharge staff or resolve personnel grievances.
Importance 71/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 42/100Weight 0.71
Develop budgets or approve expenditures for supplies, materials, or human resources, ensuring that materials, labor, or equipment are used efficiently to meet production targets.
Importance 64/100Relevance 84/100Frequency 47/100Weight 0.68
Coordinate or recommend procedures for facility or equipment maintenance or modification, including the replacement of machines.
Importance 61/100Relevance 88/100Frequency 37/100Weight 0.65
Review plans and confer with research or support staff to develop new products or processes.
Importance 64/100Relevance 78/100Frequency 41/100Weight 0.64

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$126,060

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

246,250

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+2.6%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

17

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bicycle Repairers

5%

75 points lower exposure • 58% profile similarity

Median wage: $42,780 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

70 points lower exposure • 61% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

75 points lower exposure • 59% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

5%

75 points lower exposure • 57% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,210 Growth 2025–2035: +4.4% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

75 points lower exposure • 56% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

68 points lower exposure • 62% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • routine information gathering
  • first-pass document drafting
  • standard reporting and summarization
  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • research and analysis
  • quality checking AI-generated work
  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • domain expertise
  • exception handling
  • accountability for outcomes

LEARN

  • AI-assisted research
  • workflow automation
  • data literacy
  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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