AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 25-2022.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education?

Teach one or more subjects to students at the middle, intermediate, or junior high school level.

Estimated AI task exposure
41%

Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

35 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

44/100

Physical moat

12/100

Human moat

56/100

Rating coverage

100%

35 task statements / 35 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Observe and evaluate students' performance, behavior, social development, and physical health.
Importance 89/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 87/100Weight 0.93
Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
Importance 90/100Relevance 97/100Frequency 82/100Weight 0.91
Instruct through lectures, discussions, and demonstrations in one or more subjects, such as English, mathematics, or social studies.
Importance 88/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 82/100Weight 0.89
Establish and enforce rules for behavior and procedures for maintaining order among students.
Importance 83/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 75/100Weight 0.88
Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects, and communicate these objectives to students.
Importance 82/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 73/100Weight 0.87
Enforce all administration policies and rules governing students.
Importance 78/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 78/100Weight 0.86
Assign lessons and correct homework.
Importance 80/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 73/100Weight 0.85
Prepare, administer, and grade tests and assignments to evaluate students' progress.
Importance 85/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 68/100Weight 0.84
Adapt teaching methods and instructional materials to meet students' varying needs and interests.
Importance 78/100Relevance 97/100Frequency 68/100Weight 0.83
Plan and conduct activities for a balanced program of instruction, demonstration, and work time that provides students with opportunities to observe, question, and investigate.
Importance 78/100Relevance 97/100Frequency 68/100Weight 0.83

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$64,370

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

620,090

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

-0.4%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

39

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Substitute Teachers, Short-Term

12%

29 points lower exposure • 83% profile similarity

Median wage: $41,670 Growth 2025–2035: +2.0% Annual openings: 65

stronger human/judgment moat, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Teaching Assistants, Preschool, Elementary, Middle, and Secondary School, Except Special Education

19%

22 points lower exposure • 85% profile similarity

Median wage: Not published Growth 2025–2035: Not published Annual openings: Not published

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Athletes and Sports Competitors

21%

20 points lower exposure • 88% profile similarity

Median wage: $66,710 Growth 2025–2035: +5.5% Annual openings: 2

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

29 points lower exposure • 77% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

31 points lower exposure • 74% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Teaching Assistants, Special Education

22%

19 points lower exposure • 89% profile similarity

Median wage: Not published Growth 2025–2035: Not published Annual openings: Not published

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

    AUGMENT

      PROTECT

      • relationship building
      • judgment in ambiguous situations
      • communication and persuasion

      LEARN

      • leadership
      • negotiation
      • stakeholder communication

      AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

      What this score does not mean

      The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

      New in V11

      Find a Safer Career Path

      High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

      EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
      I am your guide.
      Knowledge is your strongest upgrade.