AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 47-2141.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Painters, Construction and Maintenance?

Paint walls, equipment, buildings, bridges, and other structural surfaces, using brushes, rollers, and spray guns. May remove old paint to prepare surface prior to painting. May mix colors or oils to obtain desired color or consistency.

Estimated AI task exposure
28%

Low-Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

17 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

25/100

Physical moat

26/100

Human moat

17/100

Rating coverage

100%

17 task statements / 17 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Cover surfaces with dropcloths or masking tape and paper to protect surfaces during painting.
Importance 90/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 77/100Weight 0.91
Fill cracks, holes, or joints with caulk, putty, plaster, or other fillers, using caulking guns or putty knives.
Importance 86/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 74/100Weight 0.88
Read work orders or receive instructions from supervisors or homeowners to determine work requirements.
Importance 88/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 67/100Weight 0.85
Smooth surfaces, using sandpaper, scrapers, brushes, steel wool, or sanding machines.
Importance 81/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 68/100Weight 0.85
Apply paint, stain, varnish, enamel, or other finishes to equipment, buildings, bridges, or other structures, using brushes, spray guns, or rollers.
Importance 87/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 72/100Weight 0.84
Erect scaffolding or swing gates, or set up ladders, to work above ground level.
Importance 78/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 56/100Weight 0.81
Apply primers or sealers to prepare new surfaces, such as bare wood or metal, for finish coats.
Importance 72/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 59/100Weight 0.79
Wash and treat surfaces with oil, turpentine, mildew remover, or other preparations, and sand rough spots to ensure that finishes will adhere properly.
Importance 74/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 42/100Weight 0.72
Remove fixtures such as pictures, door knobs, lamps, or electric switch covers prior to painting.
Importance 62/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 49/100Weight 0.71
Remove old finishes by stripping, sanding, wire brushing, burning, or using water or abrasive blasting.
Importance 63/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 28/100Weight 0.66

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$49,400

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

225,190

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+3.0%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

25

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

23 points lower exposure • 85% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers

6%

22 points lower exposure • 87% profile similarity

Median wage: $57,020 Growth 2025–2035: +1.6% Annual openings: 14

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Solar Thermal Installers and Technicians

5%

23 points lower exposure • 85% profile similarity

Median wage: $63,800 Growth 2025–2035: +6.8% Annual openings: 42

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers

5%

23 points lower exposure • 85% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,380 Growth 2025–2035: -5.6% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators

7%

21 points lower exposure • 87% profile similarity

Median wage: $59,850 Growth 2025–2035: +4.6% Annual openings: 39

more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Laundry and Dry-Cleaning Workers

5%

23 points lower exposure • 85% profile similarity

Median wage: $34,890 Growth 2025–2035: +4.3% Annual openings: 28

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

    AUGMENT

    • administrative support tasks
    • planning and documentation

    PROTECT

    • domain expertise
    • exception handling
    • accountability for outcomes

    LEARN

    • cross-functional business knowledge
    • risk and governance
    • basic AI literacy

    AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

    What this score does not mean

    The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

    New in V11

    Find a Safer Career Path

    High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

    EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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