AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 27-2023.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials?

Officiate at competitive athletic or sporting events. Detect infractions of rules and decide penalties according to established regulations. Includes all sporting officials, referees, and competition judges.

Estimated AI task exposure
43%

Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

16 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

37/100

Physical moat

8/100

Human moat

34/100

Rating coverage

100%

16 task statements / 16 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Officiate at sporting events, games, or competitions, to maintain standards of play and to ensure that game rules are observed.
Importance 99/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 50/100Weight 0.85
Signal participants or other officials to make them aware of infractions or to otherwise regulate play or competition.
Importance 85/100Relevance 86/100Frequency 53/100Weight 0.77
Inspect game sites for compliance with regulations or safety requirements.
Importance 90/100Relevance 81/100Frequency 47/100Weight 0.76
Confer with other sporting officials, coaches, players, and facility managers to provide information, coordinate activities, and discuss problems.
Importance 75/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 48/100Weight 0.76
Resolve claims of rule infractions or complaints by participants and assess any necessary penalties, according to regulations.
Importance 88/100Relevance 71/100Frequency 58/100Weight 0.74
Inspect sporting equipment or examine participants to ensure compliance with event and safety regulations.
Importance 80/100Relevance 81/100Frequency 52/100Weight 0.73
Teach and explain the rules and regulations governing a specific sport.
Importance 83/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 31/100Weight 0.73
Judge performances in sporting competitions to award points, impose scoring penalties, and determine results.
Importance 96/100Relevance 67/100Frequency 48/100Weight 0.73
Report to regulating organizations regarding sporting activities, complaints made, and actions taken or needed, such as fines or other disciplinary actions.
Importance 75/100Relevance 81/100Frequency 28/100Weight 0.65
Keep track of event times, including race times and elapsed time during game segments, starting or stopping play when necessary.
Importance 75/100Relevance 67/100Frequency 56/100Weight 0.67

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$40,710

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

15,780

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+5.2%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

4

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

33 points lower exposure • 80% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

38 points lower exposure • 75% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

31 points lower exposure • 81% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bicycle Repairers

5%

38 points lower exposure • 74% profile similarity

Median wage: $42,780 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

11%

32 points lower exposure • 82% profile similarity

Median wage: $49,450 Growth 2025–2035: +1.5% Annual openings: 4

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

38 points lower exposure • 74% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

    AUGMENT

      PROTECT

      • domain expertise
      • exception handling
      • accountability for outcomes

      LEARN

      • cross-functional business knowledge
      • risk and governance

      AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

      What this score does not mean

      The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

      New in V11

      Find a Safer Career Path

      High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

      EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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