AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 11-3012.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Administrative Services Managers?

Plan, direct, or coordinate one or more administrative services of an organization, such as records and information management, mail distribution, and other office support services.

Estimated AI task exposure
53%

Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

8 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 44%.

Digital/info work

57/100

Physical moat

21/100

Human moat

43/100

Rating coverage

44%

18 task statements / 8 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Set goals and deadlines for the department.
Importance 68/100Relevance 93/100Frequency 36/100Weight 0.69
Analyze internal processes and recommend and implement procedural or policy changes to improve operations, such as supply changes or the disposal of records.
Importance 58/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 33/100Weight 0.66
Prepare and review operational reports and schedules to ensure accuracy and efficiency.
Importance 68/100Relevance 78/100Frequency 44/100Weight 0.66
Direct or coordinate the supportive services department of a business, agency, or organization.
Importance 73/100Relevance 64/100Frequency 60/100Weight 0.66
Acquire, distribute and store supplies.
Importance 60/100Relevance 72/100Frequency 46/100Weight 0.61
Plan, administer, and control budgets for contracts, equipment, and supplies.
Importance 76/100Relevance 66/100Frequency 47/100Weight 0.65
Conduct classes to teach procedures to staff.
Importance 55/100Relevance 75/100Frequency 17/100Weight 0.53
Hire and terminate clerical and administrative personnel.
Importance 74/100Relevance 56/100Frequency 14/100Weight 0.52
Communicate with and provide guidance for external vendors and service providers to ensure the organization, department, or work unit's business needs are met.
No task rating: fallback weight
Develop operational standards and procedures for the work unit or department.
No task rating: fallback weight

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$114,130

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

263,960

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+5.2%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

22

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

41 points lower exposure • 76% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

43 points lower exposure • 74% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

48 points lower exposure • 68% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

22%

31 points lower exposure • 82% profile similarity

Median wage: $59,050 Growth 2025–2035: +4.1% Annual openings: 21

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

11%

42 points lower exposure • 74% profile similarity

Median wage: $49,450 Growth 2025–2035: +1.5% Annual openings: 4

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Shampooers

23%

30 points lower exposure • 83% profile similarity

Median wage: $32,600 Growth 2025–2035: +5.6% Annual openings: 2

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • routine information gathering
  • first-pass document drafting
  • standard reporting and summarization
  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • research and analysis
  • quality checking AI-generated work
  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • domain expertise
  • exception handling
  • accountability for outcomes

LEARN

  • AI-assisted research
  • workflow automation
  • data literacy
  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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