AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 49-3031.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists?

Diagnose, adjust, repair, or overhaul buses and trucks, or maintain and repair any type of diesel engines. Includes mechanics working primarily with automobile or marine diesel engines.

Estimated AI task exposure
5%

Low exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

26 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

24/100

Physical moat

88/100

Human moat

12/100

Rating coverage

100%

26 task statements / 26 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Use handtools, such as screwdrivers, pliers, wrenches, pressure gauges, or precision instruments, as well as power tools, such as pneumatic wrenches, lathes, welding equipment, or jacks and hoists.
Importance 88/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 81/100Weight 0.91
Raise trucks, buses, and heavy parts or equipment using hydraulic jacks or hoists.
Importance 81/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 71/100Weight 0.85
Inspect brake systems, steering mechanisms, wheel bearings, and other important parts to ensure that they are in proper operating condition.
Importance 82/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 60/100Weight 0.83
Perform routine maintenance such as changing oil, checking batteries, and lubricating equipment and machinery.
Importance 79/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 61/100Weight 0.83
Examine and adjust protective guards, loose bolts, and specified safety devices.
Importance 78/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 54/100Weight 0.80
Attach test instruments to equipment, and read dials and gauges to diagnose malfunctions.
Importance 79/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 56/100Weight 0.80
Adjust and reline brakes, align wheels, tighten bolts and screws, and reassemble equipment.
Importance 80/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 49/100Weight 0.79
Test drive trucks and buses to diagnose malfunctions or to ensure that they are working properly.
Importance 76/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 57/100Weight 0.79
Inspect, test, and listen to defective equipment to diagnose malfunctions, using test instruments such as handheld computers, motor analyzers, chassis charts, or pressure gauges.
Importance 77/100Relevance 97/100Frequency 55/100Weight 0.79
Diagnose and repair vehicle heating and cooling systems.
Importance 76/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 46/100Weight 0.76

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$61,770

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

289,960

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+3.6%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

24

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Maintenance and Repair Workers, General

5%

similar low-exposure profile • 98% profile similarity

Median wage: $49,590 Growth 2025–2035: +4.2% Annual openings: 149

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Construction Laborers

5%

similar low-exposure profile • 98% profile similarity

Median wage: $47,120 Growth 2025–2035: +7.3% Annual openings: 120

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers

5%

similar low-exposure profile • 99% profile similarity

Median wage: $109,910 Growth 2025–2035: +5.7% Annual openings: 2

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hoist and Winch Operators

5%

similar low-exposure profile • 98% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,450 Growth 2025–2035: +0.2% Annual openings: 0

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Maintenance Workers, Machinery

5%

similar low-exposure profile • 96% profile similarity

Median wage: $60,850 Growth 2025–2035: -1.9% Annual openings: 4

stronger human/judgment moat
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

5%

similar low-exposure profile • 98% profile similarity

Median wage: $51,330 Growth 2025–2035: -6.2% Annual openings: 5

similar work profile with lower modeled exposure

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

    AUGMENT

    • administrative support tasks
    • planning and documentation

    PROTECT

    • physical-world execution
    • on-site troubleshooting
    • dexterity and equipment interaction

    LEARN

    • AI-assisted diagnostics
    • digital documentation
    • basic AI literacy

    AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

    What this score does not mean

    The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

    New in V11

    Find a Safer Career Path

    High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

    EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
    I am your guide.
    Knowledge is your strongest upgrade.