AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 11-3071.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers?

Plan, direct, or coordinate transportation, storage, or distribution activities in accordance with organizational policies and applicable government laws or regulations. Includes logistics managers.

Estimated AI task exposure
73%

High exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

26 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 87%.

Digital/info work

77/100

Physical moat

19/100

Human moat

43/100

Rating coverage

87%

30 task statements / 26 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Supervise the activities of workers engaged in receiving, storing, testing, and shipping products or materials.
Importance 89/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 75/100Weight 0.90
Plan, organize, or manage the work of subordinate staff to ensure that the work is accomplished in a manner consistent with organizational requirements.
Importance 82/100Relevance 97/100Frequency 73/100Weight 0.86
Inspect physical conditions of warehouses, vehicle fleets, or equipment and order testing, maintenance, repairs, or replacements.
Importance 82/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 58/100Weight 0.83
Resolve problems concerning transportation, logistics systems, imports or exports, or customer issues.
Importance 77/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 58/100Weight 0.81
Collaborate with other departments to integrate logistics with business systems or processes, such as customer sales, order management, accounting, or shipping.
Importance 78/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 51/100Weight 0.80
Monitor operations to ensure that staff members comply with administrative policies and procedures, safety rules, union contracts, environmental policies, or government regulations.
Importance 76/100Relevance 91/100Frequency 68/100Weight 0.80
Analyze all aspects of corporate logistics to determine the most cost-effective or efficient means of transporting products or supplies.
Importance 77/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 42/100Weight 0.77
Plan, develop, or implement warehouse safety and security programs and activities.
Importance 83/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 39/100Weight 0.77
Confer with department heads to coordinate warehouse activities, such as production, sales, records control, or purchasing.
Importance 68/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 54/100Weight 0.77
Establish or monitor specific supply chain-based performance measurement systems.
Importance 73/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 43/100Weight 0.76

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$107,230

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

221,180

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+6.1%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

18

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

61 points lower exposure • 66% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

63 points lower exposure • 64% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

68 points lower exposure • 58% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

22%

51 points lower exposure • 72% profile similarity

Median wage: $59,050 Growth 2025–2035: +4.1% Annual openings: 21

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

11%

62 points lower exposure • 64% profile similarity

Median wage: $49,450 Growth 2025–2035: +1.5% Annual openings: 4

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Shampooers

23%

50 points lower exposure • 73% profile similarity

Median wage: $32,600 Growth 2025–2035: +5.6% Annual openings: 2

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • routine information gathering
  • first-pass document drafting
  • standard reporting and summarization
  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • research and analysis
  • quality checking AI-generated work
  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • domain expertise
  • exception handling
  • accountability for outcomes

LEARN

  • AI-assisted research
  • workflow automation
  • data literacy
  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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